The Shadow of Civilization: Ontological War and the Path to Victory
By 2025, world leaders had publicly signaled their readiness to adopt the rhetoric and operational frameworks established by Arnold Toynbee and Samuel Huntington. These scholars envisioned human history as a continuous cycle of coexistence and conflict between distinct civilizations across the globe. …
What war will we be fighting in 2026?
How has Ukrainian consciousness changed during 2025? How are new technologies changing our reality and how are old concepts dissolving? What is cognitive warfare and cognitive advantage? Why are we less interested in “what’s going on in Russia” and are our gazes finally directed …
The Kirill Dmitriev Bot Network: A Coordinated Campaign to Polish a Kremlin Envoy’s Image on X
In late 2025, as Kirill Dmitriev – CEO of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) and Putin’s special envoy – emerged as a key figure in backchannel Ukraine peace talks (including high-profile Miami meetings with Trump aides Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner), …
The dead end of history: no peace for Ukraine means more war for the West
No peace for Ukraine means more war for the West …
Re-federalisation: avoiding the risk of Russia’s collapse
While western elites continue to support Ukraine, they also worry about the potential collapse of Russia following a defeat on the battlefield. In order to overcome this binary, we must discuss how to truly transform the Russian Federation into the pluralist state …
How the western political elite can move from uncertainty to certainty in the Russian war
There continues to be much debate about the prospect of a “stalemate scenario” in Ukraine. While such a situation may seemingly decrease uncertainty on a short-term basis, this does not take away Putin’s ability to cause further trouble down the road. …
Defining Russia’s defeat: the war’s exit strategy and a new international security architecture
Numerous publications have recently explored various scenarios for the development of the conflict, considering both military and political aspects, as well as the involvement of key decision-making centres, such as Kyiv, Moscow, Washington and Beijing. These scenarios can be broadly categorised into …
To stop the war, it is necessary to understand what will happen afterwards
Discussions on how to stop the full-scale Russian aggression in Ukraine have intensified over the last few weeks. …
